What's in the news this month - October 2025
This month’s news covers a new fraud law, the latest UK economic forecast, and possible business rate changes for small firms. We also update you on a new Budget Board to drive growth, a Covid repayment scheme, and HMRC’s powers to recover debts. Other highlights include the potential of AI to boost the global economy, the cost of failed housing transactions, Making Tax Digital exemptions for the digitally excluded, and a warning on the impact of long-term sickness.
If you have any questions about any of the below please do get in touch with your Old Mill adviser in the first instance, or alternatively click here…

8th October 2025
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Companies face prosecution risk as new fraud law comes into force
Companies could be prosecuted and face unlimited fines if they fail to prevent fraud that their firm profits from under a new corporate offence.
The offence will hold large organisations to account if they profit from fraud. It forms part of wider measures introduced by the government to tackle fraud and protect the UK economy.
These have been introduced as part of the Economic Crime and Corporate Transparency Act (ECCT) 2023 and came into force on 1 September.
Under the new law, which was passed with cross-Parliament support, large organisations can be held criminally liable where an employee, agent, subsidiary, or other ‘associated person’ commits a fraud intending to benefit the organisation.
In the event of prosecution, an organisation will now have to demonstrate to the court that it had reasonable fraud prevention measures in place at the time the fraud was committed.
Lucy Rigby KC MP, the Solicitor General, said:
‘Fraud undermines our British values of fairness and playing by the rules. It hurts individuals and businesses, and harms business confidence.
‘This new legislation sends a clear message that large organisations must take responsibility for preventing fraud, and those that fail to do so will be prosecuted with the full force of the law.
‘This government is committed to protecting our economy and we’re determined that those who don’t play by the rules will be brought to book.’
Internet link: GOV.UK
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Economic outlook remains subdued
The overall outlook for the UK economy remains subdued despite an upgrade to its forecast, says the British Chambers of Commerce (BCC).
The UK economy is expected to grow by 1.3% in 2025, revised up from the previous forecast of 1.1%, says the BCC.
This upgrade reflects better-than-expected economic performance in Q1, supported by public spending. However, GDP is expected to slow slightly in 2026 to 1.2%, before rising to 1.5% in 2027 – unchanged from the previous forecast.
Business investment across 2025 is projected to be 1.6% – a significant downgrade from 4.8% in the last forecast, the business group added.
Vicky Pryce, Chair of the BCC Economic Advisory Council, said:
‘While 2025 may be slightly better than forecast, the overall growth landscape for the UK in the next couple of years looks weak. The economy will continue to be buffeted by global headwinds, alongside ongoing worries about high bond yields.
‘Government expenditure has bolstered the economy this year, but the spending taps are likely to be tightened very soon across Whitehall.
‘The spectre of inflation is set to loom over the economy for some time to come, with consumers reluctant to spend. That’s likely to slow the path of interest rate cuts.
‘Government long-term strategies are welcome – but firms can’t only exist on promises of tomorrow. They need help today to grow, recruit and compete.’
Internet link: BCC website
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Chancellor to explore reforms to business rates on second premises
Chancellor Rachel Reeves will look at fixing the cliff edges in business rates that can discourage small business investment and growth, according to a report from HM Treasury.
Currently when a business opens a second property, they will lose access to all Small Business Rates Relief (SBRR) unless they meet specific conditions, holding businesses back from expanding.
That means that a local bakery would have to pay thousands of pounds more for opening a small shop in the next village.
The report confirms that the government will review how SBRR can support business growth, potentially lifting growth and living standards in the future for those who work in these small businesses.
This is one of the options being explored in the Treasury’s business rates interim report.
Chancellor of the Exchequer, Rachel Reeves, said:
‘Our economy isn’t broken, but it does feel stuck. That’s why growth is our number one mission. We want to see thriving high streets and small businesses investing in their future, not held back by outdated rules or strangled by red tape.
‘Tax reforms such as tackling cliff-edges in business rates and making reliefs fairer are vital to driving growth. We want to help small businesses expand to new premises and building an economy that works for, and rewards working people.’
Internet link: HM Treasury website
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Covid repayment window opens
The government has launched a voluntary repayment scheme to allow recipients of financial Covid support to repay outstanding money they were not entitled to or did not need with ‘no questions asked’.
The government says that over £10 billion was lost to pandemic fraud, flawed contracts and waste under the previous government’s pandemic era procurement and schemes. £1.54 billion has already been recovered through existing efforts.
It says it will do everything in its power to recoup money lost to Covid fraud.
All Covid schemes, including loans, grants, social security and tax benefits fall under the voluntary repayment scheme.
The government says that individuals who don’t take the chance to come forward and repay outstanding money could face prosecution when it receives additional investigatory powers next year.
Changes to how director disqualification works could also see more people stopped from being involved in businesses or facing compensation orders.
A Covid fraud reporting website is also being launched to allow members of the public to report suspected fraud.
Covid Counter-Fraud Commissioner Tom Hayhoe said:
‘Our message to those who still owe Covid era money is simple – pay now, clear your conscience, or face the consequences.
‘This money belongs in communities, the NHS, police and armed forces. Those who don’t take up this straightforward offer and have knowingly, wrongly claimed tax-payer-funded help could face prosecution, disqualification, or prison.
‘The digital trail is forever, so the time to settle is now – before new investigatory powers and tougher rules come into force.’
Internet link: GOV.UK
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AI to boost trade by nearly 40% by 2040 if gaps are bridged, says WTO
Artificial intelligence (AI) could boost the value of cross-border flows of goods and services by nearly 40% by 2040 thanks to productivity gains and lower trade costs, according to a World Trade Organization (WTO) report.
However, the report says that for AI and trade to contribute to inclusive growth policies need to be in place to bridge the digital divide, invest in workforce skills, and maintain an open and predictable trading environment.
William Bain, Head of Trade Policy at the British Chambers of Commerce (BCC), said:
‘This report is a call to action for business and policymakers worldwide to ensure we realise the full benefits of AI in boosting global trade, productivity and skills.
‘It identifies a possible AI premium for global economic growth of 12-13% and goods export growth of up to 37% by 2040. AI can boost exports by reducing red tape, speeding up journey times, and cutting customs delays. AI-services are also highly exportable, and can be a major source of growth, in an area where the UK is already a world leader.
‘But tariff and technical barriers to trade need to be dealt with to allow AI to realise these full gains. We also need to ensure that electronic transmission of services across the world remains tariff-free.’
Internet link: WTO website BCC website
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Failed housing transactions cost £1.5 billion a year
Failed housing transactions cost consumers and the economy at least £1.5 billion every year, according to research published by Santander.
The research says that over 530,000 transactions fall through every year due to the UK’s antiquated homebuying process.
The economic analysis shows that the direct cost to consumers of this through expenditure on elements such as mortgage and solicitors’ fees that consumers cannot recoup, is £560 million annually.
However, the impact is not just limited to consumers. The repercussions on the broader economy include the loss of work output due to stress and the time taken to buy a property within work hours, estimated at £380 million per year.
There is also the cost of people’s reduced wellbeing, estimated to be £400 million and wasted leisure time, approximately £170 million.
David Morris, Head of Homes at Santander UK, said:
‘The homebuying journey is still operating in the confines of a framework that was established a century ago. This antiquated system is an increasingly heavy anchor weighing on the economy and fixing it must be key.
‘While the government has put the housing market firmly on its agenda – as this research shows – the scale of the challenge remains largely underappreciated, and that’s why we’re calling for powerful reforms to give buyers and sellers more confidence, ease the financial and emotional strain and create a housing system fit for the needs of today’s consumers and economy.’
Internet link: Santander website
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Digitally excluded can apply for MTD for Income Tax exemption now
HMRC has opened up a service for landlords and self-employed to apply for exemption from Making Tax Digital (MTD) for Income Tax phase one.
From next April, people who are self-employed and landlords, and declare more than £50,000 of gross income in their 2024/25 self assessment tax return, will be legally required to follow the new MTD for Income Tax rules from April 2026 onwards.
Anyone who thinks they may be eligible for exemption must phone or write to HMRC. Third parties such as relatives and agents can do this on behalf of taxpayers if they are authorised. It will take up to 28 days for HMRC to respond with a decision.
Sharron West, Technical Officer at the Low Incomes Tax Reform Group (LITRG), said:
‘Because HMRC will deal with applications on a case-by-case basis, we don’t yet know how generous their interpretation of the rules will be, but we know that HMRC are keen to see as many people as possible manage their taxes online.
‘If you are already exempt from MTD for VAT, HMRC say you should contact them when the exemption application process opens so they can check your circumstances and confirm if you’ll also be exempt from MTD for Income Tax.
‘The clock is ticking and it’s time to get ready.’
Internet link: GOV.UK Chartered Institute of Taxation website
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HMRC to resume taking tax owed by debtors directly from their bank accounts
HMRC has resumed its programme allowing direct recovery of money from debtors’ bank accounts.
The Direct Recovery of Debts (DRD) policy, which was paused during the Covid-19 pandemic, has restarted in a ‘test and learn’ phase’, the tax authority has confirmed.
DRD targets individuals and businesses who can afford to pay their debts but deliberately choose not to, HMRC said.
This power enables HMRC to compel banks and building societies to transfer funds directly from a debtor’s account. It applies to debts of £1,000 or more, with safeguards against undue hardship and for vulnerable customers.
Before debts are considered for recovery through DRD, every debtor will receive a face-to-face visit from HMRC agents to personally identify the taxpayer to confirm it is their debt and to discuss options to resolve the debt.
Safeguards include only taking action against those who have established debts, have passed the timetable for appeals, and have repeatedly ignored HMRC’s attempts to make contact.
The safeguards also include leaving a minimum of £5,000 in the debtor’s accounts to ensure that sufficient money is available to pay wages, mortgages or essential business or household expenses.
HMRC said:
‘The vast majority of taxpayers pay their taxes in full and on time, but a minority choose not to pay, even though they have the means to do so.’
Internet link: GOV.UK
If you have any questions about any of the above please do get in touch with your adviser in the first instance, or alternatively click here…